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Competing-Risk Nomogram for Predicting Cancer-Specific Survival in Multiple Primary Colorectal Cancer Patients after Surgery
Published on: September 27, 2024
[Study on the recurrence pattern of rectal cancer patients undergoing radical surgery after neoadjuvant
Z G Sun1, R S Xiang1, Q Zhang1
1Department of Colorectal Surgery, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing 100021, China.
Abstract:
Objective: To analyze the recurrence pattern of rectal cancer patients with radical surgery after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy. Methods: The clinicopathological characteristics and follow-up information of rectal cancer patients with radical surgery after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy in the Cancer Hospital of the Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences from June 2004 to December 2017 were retrospectively collected. The recurrence pattern including the time and site was investigated. Results: The age of 537 patients was (55.5±11.7) years, of whom 361 were male (67.2%). The median follow-up time [M(Q1,Q3)] was 77.9 (64.5, 95.6) months. Moreover, 30.7% (165/537) of patients had distant metastasis or local recurrence; 26.8% (144/537) of patients had distant metastasis; 5.6% (30/537) of patients had local recurrence; 1.7% (9/537) of patients had both distant metastasis and local recurrence. In all the recurrent patients, 23.6% (39/165) were in the first year after surgery, followed by 27.3% (45/165) in the second year, 17.0% (28/165) in the third year, and 15.8% (26/165) after five years. According to the risk curve drawn by the life table, the highest metastasis risk of patients occurred in the second year after surgery, and the metastasis risk peak occurred again after more than five years. The lung was the most common metastatic organ, accounting for 47.9% (69/144), followed by the liver (18.8%, 27/144). The ratios of the recurrent patients in each ypTNM stage were 9.5% (8/84), 12.0% (12/100), 26.5% (41/155), 52.5% (104/198), respectively. The proportion of recurrent patients in tumor regression grade (TRG) 1-2 and TRG 3-5 patients were 19.2% (38/198) and 37.5% (127/339), respectively. Conclusions: The recurrence pattern of patients undergoing radical surgery after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy is mainly distant metastasis. The lung is the primary metastatic organ. The risk of distant metastasis and local recurrence is high in the first three years after surgery, and there is still high risk of recurrence after five years. For patients with ypTNM stage 2, 3 and TRG3-5, the postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy and long-term follow-up should be strengthened.
