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Published on: November 10, 2023
Securitization of pandemic risk by using coronabond
Adlane Haffar1, Éric Le Fur2, Mohamed Khordj3
1Faculty of Mathematics (USTHB), MSTD Laboratory, University of Science and Technology Houari Boumédiène, Postbox 32, Bab Ezzouar, 16111 Algiers, Algeria.
Abstract:
This article investigates the pandemic risk coverage within the European Union member states through insurance securitization. This strategy allows the transfer of health risks from the insurance market to the financial markets. We focus on the financial market crisis caused by the COVID-19 pandemic to securitize the losses caused by the latter. Over the period from 24/01/2020 (the first proven case of contamination in Europe) to 31/03/2020 (end of the dramatic decrease in financial markets), we apply the extreme value theory allowing the selection of the trigger threshold. We identify an immediate reaction of the financial markets following a pandemic shock, the effect of which fades after a few days. The response of stock market indices, measured by the fluctuation of return rates, is not very high. Nevertheless, the reaction of the financial markets is sufficient for the corona bond triggering, provided that the threshold for triggering the incidence rate is optimal. In addition, the securitization of insurance risk could be an alternative process to the classic risk transfer techniques such as co-insurance and reinsurance. Finally, a reinsurance pool dedicated to the insurance scheme's management against the effects of a pandemic is crucial for insurance securitization. These results could have implications for various actors such as insurers, financial investors, and States.
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