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COVID-19 and housing prices: evidence from U.S. county-level data
1Department of Economics, Florida International University, FL 33199 Miami, USA.
Jahrbuch Fur Regionalwissenschaftt = Review of Regional Research
|June 26, 2023
Summary
The study found that rising coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) cases negatively impacted U.S. housing prices, especially in poorer counties. These housing market effects were more pronounced in California and May 2020.
Area of Science:
- Economics
- Public Health
- Urban Studies
Background:
- The COVID-19 pandemic has had widespread economic consequences.
- Understanding its impact on local markets, such as housing, is crucial.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the relationship between COVID-19 cases and housing prices at the U.S. county level.
- To identify factors influencing this relationship.
Main Methods:
- Utilized a two-way fixed effects panel regression analysis.
- Controlled for county-specific factors, time-specific factors, and individual mobility measures.
- Performed permutation, exclusion, and robustness tests.
Main Results:
- A statistically significant negative correlation was found between COVID-19 cases and housing prices.
- This negative effect was more pronounced in counties with higher poverty rates.
- Counties in California and the month of May 2020 were identified as key drivers of the observed results.
Conclusions:
- COVID-19 cases have a detrimental effect on U.S. county-level housing prices.
- Socioeconomic factors, like poverty, exacerbate these negative housing market impacts.
- Geographic and temporal variations in the pandemic's housing market effects exist.
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