Kinetics of CD169, HLA-DR, and CD64 expression as predictive biomarkers of SARS-CoV2 outcome

Discriminating between virus-induced fever from superimposed bacterial infections is a common challenge in intensive care units. Superimposed bacterial infections can be detected in severe SARS-CoV2-infected patients, suggesting the important role of the bacteria in COVID-19 evolution. However, indicators of patients' immune status may be of help in the management of critically ill subjects. Monocyte CD169 is a type I interferon-inducible receptor that is up-regulated during viral infections, including COVID-19. Monocyte HLA-DR expression is an immunologic status marker, that decreases during immune exhaustion. This condition is an unfavorable prognostic biomarker in septic patients. Neutrophil CD64 upregulation is an established indicator of sepsis.

In this study, we evaluated by flow cytometry the expression of cellular markers monocyte CD169, neutrophil CD64, and monocyte HLA-DR in 36 hospitalized patients with severe COVID-19, as possible indicators of ongoing progression of disease and of patients' immune status. Blood testings started at ICU admission and were carried on throughout the ICU stay and extended in case of transfer to other units, when applicable. The marker expression in mean fluorescence intensity (MFI) and their kinetics with time were correlated to the clinical outcome.

Patients with short hospital stay (≤15 days) and good outcome showed higher values of monocyte HLA-DR (median 17,478 MFI) than long hospital stay patients (>15 days, median 9590 MFI, p= 0.04) and than patients who died (median 5437 MFI, p= 0.05). In most cases, the recovery of the SARS-CoV2 infection-related signs was associated with the downregulation of monocyte CD169 within 17 days from disease onset. However in three surviving long hospital stay patients, a persistent upregulation of monocyte CD169 was observed. An increased neutrophil CD64 expression was found in two cases with a superimposed bacterial sepsis.

Monocyte CD169, neutrophil CD64, and monocyte HLA-DR expression can be used as predictive biomarkers of SARS-CoV2 outcome in acutely infected patients. The combined analysis of these indicators can offer a real-time evaluation of patients' immune status and of viral disease progression versus superimposed bacterial infections. This approach allows to better define the patients' clinical status and outcome and may be useful to guide clinicians' decisions. Our study focused on the discrimination between the activity of viral and bacterial infections and on the detection of the development of anergic states that may correlate with an unfavorable prognosis.