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Published on: January 8, 2020
Evaluation of medication regimen complexity as a predictor for mortality.
Andrea Sikora1, John W Devlin2,3, Mengyun Yu4
1Department of Clinical and Administrative Pharmacy, University of Georgia College of Pharmacy, 1120 15th Street, HM-118, Augusta, GA, 30912, USA. sikora@uga.edu.
Medication regimen complexity in ICUs, measured by the MRC-ICU score, correlates with higher hospital mortality. Adding this complexity score to existing models offers a modest improvement in predicting patient survival.
Area of Science:
- Critical Care Medicine
- Pharmacoeconomics
- Health Outcomes Research
Background:
- Medication regimen complexity is a growing concern in intensive care units (ICUs).
- The Medication Regimen Complexity-Intensive Care Unit (MRC-ICU) score is a novel index to quantify this complexity.
- The predictive value of the MRC-ICU score for hospital mortality remains unclear.
Purpose of the Study:
- To characterize the association between the MRC-ICU score, severity of illness, and hospital mortality.
- To evaluate the incremental benefit of incorporating the MRC-ICU score into existing hospital mortality prediction models.
Main Methods:
- A single-center, observational cohort study included 991 adult ICU patients admitted for at least 24 hours.
- Medication regimen complexity was assessed daily using the MRC-ICU score.
- Hospital mortality prediction models were evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve, comparing models with and without the MRC-ICU score, alongside APACHE II and SOFA scores.
Main Results:
- Each one-point increase in the average 24-hour MRC-ICU score was associated with a 5% increase in hospital mortality (OR 1.05, p=0.002).
- A prediction model incorporating MRC-ICU, APACHE II, and SOFA scores achieved an AUROC of 0.81 for mortality.
- A model using only APACHE II and SOFA scores had an AUROC of 0.76 for mortality.
Conclusions:
- Medication regimen complexity, as measured by the MRC-ICU score, is significantly associated with increased hospital mortality.
- The MRC-ICU score provides a modest but significant improvement in the prediction of hospital mortality when added to established severity-of-illness scores.
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