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Do economic development and tourism heterogeneously influence ecological sustainability? Implications for sustainable

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Summary

The international travel and tourism sector and economic development show an inverse U-shaped link with ecological deterioration in China. While tourism can mitigate environmental harm, its impact varies significantly across provinces and development levels.

Keywords:
Ecological deteriorationEconomic developmentEnergy use efficiencyHeterogeneityInternational travel and tourism sectorSustainable DevelopmentUrban agglomeration

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Area of Science:

  • Environmental Science
  • Ecological Economics
  • Regional Economics

Background:

  • Anthropogenic emissions from economic development challenge ecological sustainability.
  • International travel and tourism offer potential for ecological system sustainability across development levels.
  • Understanding these dynamics in China's diverse provincial units is crucial.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate the diversified effects of international travel and tourism, and economic development on ecological deterioration.
  • To analyze the roles of urban agglomeration and energy use efficiency in this relationship.
  • To examine these impacts across China's provincial units with varying development levels.

Main Methods:

  • Modified stochastic estimation of environmental impacts by regression on population, affluence, and technology (STIRPAT) model.
  • Development of an international travel and tourism sector index (ITTI).
  • Application of continuously updated bias correction strategy (CUBCS) and continuously updated fully modified strategy (CUFMS) for long-term estimations.
  • Utilized bootstrapping-based causality technique to determine causality directions.

Main Results:

  • An inverse U-type association was found between ITTI, economic development, and ecological deterioration in aggregate panels.
  • ITTI mitigated ecological deterioration in eleven provinces and boosted it in fourteen; economic development followed the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) theory in only four provinces.
  • Regional disparities were significant: ITTI impacts varied across China's east, central, and west zones, with mixed effects from economic development, urban agglomeration, and energy use efficiency.

Conclusions:

  • The international travel and tourism sector's impact on ecological deterioration is complex and context-dependent across Chinese provinces.
  • Economic development does not consistently follow the EKC theory, indicating varied environmental outcomes.
  • Policy recommendations are derived from these empirical findings to manage ecological sustainability considering tourism and development levels.