Obesity Weight Loss Phenotypes in CKD: Findings From the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort Study

Although people with chronic kidney disease (CKD) and obesity have important motivations to lose weight, weight loss is also associated with health risks. We examined whether patterns of change in systolic blood pressure (SBP), serum albumin level, and fat-free mass (FFM) can help to differentiate between healthy and high-risk weight loss in this population.

Using data from the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort Study (CRIC), we estimated a joint multivariate latent class model with 6 classes to identify distinct trajectories of body mass index (BMI), albumin, and SBP among participants with obesity (BMI ≥30 kg/m² at baseline), accounting for informative missingness from death. In a secondary analysis, we fit a 6-class model with BMI and FFM.

Among 2831 participants (median baseline BMI 35.6, interquartile range [IQR] 32.4-40.0 kg/m²), median follow-up was 6.8 (IQR 4.8-12.9) years, median age was 61 (IQR 54-67) years, 53% were male, 50% were non-Hispanic Black, and 82% were trying to control or lose weight at baseline. Latent classes were associated with mortality risk (5-year cumulative incidence of mortality 6.8% and 1.5% in class 6 and 3, respectively). Class 6 had the highest mortality rate and was characterized by early, steep BMI loss, early serum albumin decline, and late SBP increase. In the secondary analysis, a class characterized by steep BMI and FFM loss was associated with the highest death risk.

Among adults with CKD and obesity, BMI loss with concomitant serum albumin or FFM loss was associated with a high risk of death.