Weight Change over Ten Years Predicts Biological Aging in a Random Sample of 3070 U.S. Adults

This investigation was designed to study the relationship between weight change over 10 years and leukocyte telomere length (LTL) in a large sample of 3070 randomly selected U.S. adults, 36-70 years old. The National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) data were used to examine the relationship between percent weight change and LTL. Potential mediating variables were controlled using partial correlation. After adjusting for age, race, year, and housing status, the association between percent weight change over 10 years and LTL was significant in women (F = 6.9, p = 0.0138). Adjusting for the demographic and several other covariates weakened the relationship slightly (F = 4.7, p = 0.0392). With all the covariates controlled, for each one percentage point increase in weight over the previous 10 years, telomeres were, on average, 3.48 base pairs (bp) shorter in women. Given that each one-year increase in age was associated with telomeres that were 15.0 bp shorter in women, the median weight change in U.S. women over the previous 10 years (an increase of 10.4%) was predictive of LTLs that were 36 bp shorter, on average, or an increase of 2.4 years of biological aging. Percent weight change over 10 years was not associated with LTL in U.S. men. Percent weight change over 10 years is a strong predictor of biological aging in U.S. women, but not in men.