An EMT-Related Gene Signature to Predict the Prognosis of Triple-Negative Breast Cancer

Epithelial-mesenchymal transition (EMT) is an important biological process in tumor invasion and metastasis, and thus a potential indicator of the progression and drug resistance of breast cancer. This study comprehensively analyzed EMT-related genes in triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) to develop an EMT-related prognostic gene signature.

With the application of The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database, Molecular Taxonomy of Breast Cancer International Consortium (METABRIC), and the Genotype-Tissue Expression (GTEx) database, we identified EMT-related signature genes (EMGs) by Cox univariate regression and LASSO regression analysis. Risk scores were calculated and used to divide patients with TNBC into high-risk group and low-risk groups by the median value. Kaplan-Meier (K-M) and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analyses were applied for model validation. Independent prognostic predictors were used to develop nomograms. Then, we assessed the risk model in terms of the immune microenvironment, genetic alteration and DNA methylation effects on prognosis, the probability of response to immunotherapy and chemotherapy, and small molecule drugs predicted by The Connectivity Map (Cmap) database.

Thirteen EMT-related genes with independent prognostic value were identified and used to stratify the patients with TNBC into high- and low-risk groups. The survival analysis revealed that patients in the high-risk group had significantly poorer overall survival than patients in the low-risk group. Populations of immune cells, including CD4 memory resting T cells, CD4 memory activated T cells, and activated dendritic cells, significantly differed between the high- and low-risk groups. Moreover, some therapeutic drugs to which the high-risk group might show sensitivity were identified.

Our research identified the significant impact of EMGs on prognosis in TNBC, providing new strategies for personalizing TNBC treatment and improving clinical outcomes.