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Counter-stereotypical messaging and partisan cues: Moving the needle on vaccines in a polarized United States
Bradley J Larsen1, Timothy J Ryan2, Steven Greene3
1Washington University in St. Louis, St. Louis, MO, and NBER, Cambridge, MA.
Abstract:
This paper reports results from a large-scale randomized controlled trial assessing whether counter-stereotypical messaging and partisan cues can induce people to get COVID-19 vaccines. The study used a 27-s video compilation of Donald Trump's comments about the vaccine from Fox News interviews and presented the video to millions of U.S. YouTube users through a $100,000 advertising campaign in October 2021. Results indicate that the number of vaccines increased in the average treated county by 103 (with a one-tailed P value of 0.097). Based on this average treatment effect and totaling across our 1014 treated counties, the total estimated effect was 104,036 vaccines.
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