Does urbanisation lead to unhealthy diets? Longitudinal evidence from Indonesia

Urbanization is generally believed to contribute to dietary patterns that increase the risk of non-communicable disease (NCD). However, empirical evidence using nuanced measures of urbanization and longitudinal data is limited. This study examines the link between urbanization and dietary patterns in Indonesia, the largest country in Southeast Asia, between 2000 and 2015. Results show that urbanisation is associated with dietary patterns conducive to increased NCD risk-for example, high in soft drinks and ultra-processed foods-but also with higher consumption of healthier foods such as vegetables and fish. Results highlight important non-linearities and draw attention to the need to refrain from generalizations about the effect of urbanization on nutritional health.