Radioiodine versus no radioiodine outcomes in low-risk differentiated thyroid cancers: A propensity-score matched...

The 2015 American Thyroid Association guidelines recommend against radioiodine (RAI) ablation for patients with low-risk papillary microcarcinoma. However, its role in other low-risk differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) patients remains controversial. Here, we compare long-term outcomes with RAI versus no-RAI in a large cohort comprising all low-risk DTCs.

Patients with low-risk, histologically-proven DTC post-thyroidectomy, treated with RAI or kept on follow-up without RAI, between 1990 and 2019 were included. The main outcomes included recurrence rate and recurrence-free survival (RFS), and were validated by propensity-score matching analysis.

Of the 2074 low-risk DTC patients (median age: 35 years), 1686 patients underwent RAI-ablation (RAI group), while 388 patients underwent no-RAI follow-up (NOI group). Over a median follow-up of 8 years (range: 3-29), the recurrence rates were similar between the RAI and NOI groups (2.0% vs. 3.3%, p = .161). The 5- and 10-year RFS probabilities were 99.2% and 97.4%, respectively in RAI group versus 98.4% and 96.2%, respectively, in NOI group (p = .055). Subgroup regression analyses showed that patients with age <55 years (p = .044), male sex (p = .015), papillary histology (p = .043), pT3a tumours (p = .049) and postoperative thyroglobulin ≥5 ng/mL (p = .002) had significantly better RFS with RAI compared to NOI follow-up. Propensity-score matching generated 776 matched pairs with no significantly different outcomes between the two groups.

In low-risk DTC patients post-thyroidectomy, RAI ablation does not confer significant survival advantage over no-RAI follow-up. Further studies are required to demonstrate any long-term benefit with RAI, specifically in patients with tumour size >4 cm and elevated postoperative thyroglobulin.