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Expected Health Benefits of SGLT-2 Inhibitors and GLP-1 Receptor Agonists in Older Adults
Rahul S Dadwani1, Wen Wan2, M Reza Skandari3
1Pritzker School of Medicine, University of Chicago, Chicago, IL, USA.
Abstract:
Background. Older and sicker adults with type 2 diabetes (T2D) were underrepresented in randomized trials of glucagon-like peptide 1 receptor-agonist (GLP1RA) and sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors (SGLT2I), and thus, health benefits are uncertain in this population. Objective. To assess the impact of age, health status, and life expectancy in older adults with T2D on health benefits of GLP1RA and SGLT2I. Design. We used the United Kingdom Prospective Diabetes Study (UKPDS) model to simulate lifetime health outcomes. We calibrated the UKPDS model to improve mortality prediction in older adults using a common geriatric prognostic index. Participants. National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2013-2018 participants 65 y and older with T2D, eligible for GLP1RA or SGLT2I according to American Diabetes Association guidelines. Interventions. GLP1RA or SGLT2I use versus no additional medication. Main Measures. Lifetime complications and weighted life-years (LYs) and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) across overall treatment arms and life expectancies. Key Results. The overall older adult population was predicted to experience significant health benefits from GLP1RA (+0.29 LY [95% confidence interval: 0.27, 0.31], +0.15 QALYs [0.14, 0.16]) and SGLT2I (+0.26 LY [0.24, 0.28], +0.13 QALYs [0.12, 0.14]) as compared with no added medication. However, expected benefits declined in subgroups with shorter life expectancies. Participants with <4 y of life expectancy had minimal gains of <0.05 LY and <0.03 QALYs from added medication. Accounting for injection-related disutility, GLP1RA use reduced QALYs (-0.03 QALYs [-0.04, -0.02]). Conclusions. While GLP1RA and SGLT2I have substantial health benefits for many older adults with type 2 diabetes, benefits are not clinically significant in patients with <4 y of life expectancy. Life expectancy and patient preferences are important considerations when prescribing newer diabetes medications.
Highlights:
On average, older adults benefit significantly from SGLT2I and GLP1RA use. However, the benefits of these drugs are not clinically significant among older patients with life expectancy less than 4 y.There is potential harm in injectable GLP1RA use in the oldest categories of adults with type 2 diabetes.Heterogeneity in life expectancy and patient preferences for injectable versus oral medications are important to consider when prescribing newer diabetes medications.
Insights
Older adults with type 2 diabetes (T2D) generally benefit from glucagon-like peptide 1 receptor-agonists (GLP1RA) and sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors (SGLT2I). However, benefits are not significant for those with less than four years of life expectancy.
Area of Science:
- Gerontology
- Endocrinology
- Pharmacology
Background:
- Older adults with type 2 diabetes (T2D) were underrepresented in trials for GLP1RA and SGLT2I.
- Health benefits of GLP1RA and SGLT2I are uncertain in this population.
Purpose of the Study:
- To assess the impact of age, health status, and life expectancy on T2D medication benefits.
- Evaluate GLP1RA and SGLT2I effectiveness in older adults with T2D.
Main Methods:
- Utilized the UKPDS model, calibrated with a geriatric prognostic index for improved mortality prediction.
- Simulated lifetime health outcomes for adults aged 65+ with T2D using NHANES data.
- Compared GLP1RA/SGLT2I use against no additional medication, measuring complications, life-years (LYs), and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs).
Main Results:
- GLP1RA and SGLT2I use predicted significant health benefits (0.29 LY and 0.26 LY, respectively) for the general older adult population.
- Benefits diminished in subgroups with shorter life expectancies; gains were minimal (<0.05 LY) for those with <4 years.
- Injectable GLP1RA use showed a slight reduction in QALYs (-0.03) due to disutility.
Conclusions:
- GLP1RA and SGLT2I offer substantial benefits for many older adults with T2D.
- Benefits are not clinically significant for patients with less than four years of life expectancy.
- Life expectancy and patient preferences (e.g., injectable vs. oral) are crucial for prescribing decisions.
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