Temporal convolution attention model for sepsis clinical assistant diagnosis prediction

Sepsis is an organ failure disease caused by an infection acquired in an intensive care unit (ICU), which leads to a high mortality rate. Developing intelligent monitoring and early warning systems for sepsis is a key research area in the field of smart healthcare. Early and accurate identification of patients at high risk of sepsis can help doctors make the best clinical decisions and reduce the mortality rate of patients with sepsis. However, the scientific understanding of sepsis remains inadequate, leading to slow progress in sepsis research. With the accumulation of electronic medical records (EMRs) in hospitals, data mining technologies that can identify patient risk patterns from the vast amount of sepsis-related EMRs and the development of smart surveillance and early warning models show promise in reducing mortality. Based on the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care Ⅲ, a massive dataset of ICU EMRs published by MIT and Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, we propose a Temporal Convolution Attention Model for Sepsis Clinical Assistant Diagnosis Prediction (TCASP) to predict the incidence of sepsis infection in ICU patients. First, sepsis patient data is extracted from the EMRs. Then, the incidence of sepsis is predicted based on various physiological features of sepsis patients in the ICU. Finally, the TCASP model is utilized to predict the time of the first sepsis infection in ICU patients. The experiments show that the proposed model achieves an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) score of 86.9% (an improvement of 6.4% ) and an area under the precision-recall curve (AUPRC) score of 63.9% (an improvement of 3.9% ) compared to five state-of-the-art models.