Validated graft-specific biomarkers identify patients at risk for chronic graft-versus-host disease and death

Brent R Logan1, Denggang Fu2, Alan Howard3

  • 1Division of Biostatistics and Center for International Blood and Marrow Transplant Research, Medical College of Wisconsin, Milwaukee, Wisconsin, USA.

Insights

Plasma biomarkers measured 3 months after allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT) can identify patients at high risk for developing chronic graft-versus-host disease (cGVHD). This finding aids in early risk stratification for cGVHD.

Area of Science:

  • Hematology
  • Immunology
  • Transplantation Science

Background:

  • Chronic graft-versus-host disease (cGVHD) is a significant complication following allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT).
  • Accurate prediction of cGVHD risk is crucial for patient management.
  • The role of different graft types (bone marrow vs. peripheral blood) in cGVHD risk necessitates refined biomarker strategies.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To identify and validate plasma proteomic biomarkers for predicting cGVHD risk.
  • To assess the association of these biomarkers with cGVHD development in patients receiving peripheral blood (PB) or bone marrow (BM) grafts.
  • To evaluate the utility of these biomarkers in both human clinical trials and a preclinical mouse model.

Main Methods:

  • Plasma proteomics was performed on samples from HCT recipients at day 90 post-transplant.
  • Five novel risk markers were identified and combined with eight previously known markers.
  • Marker associations with cGVHD risk were analyzed using Cox-proportional-hazards models in two multicenter BMTCTN cohorts, and validated in a mouse model.

Main Results:

  • Specific biomarkers (CXCL9, DKK3, CXCL10, MMP3) showed significant correlations and associations with increased cGVHD risk in both PB and BM recipients across cohorts.
  • PB recipients with elevated biomarkers demonstrated a significantly higher incidence of cGVHD (22%-32%) compared to those with low biomarkers (8%-12%).
  • Elevated circulating biomarkers were detected in a mouse model prior to the onset of cGVHD clinical signs.

Conclusions:

  • Plasma biomarker levels at 3 months post-HCT are effective in identifying patients at risk for developing cGVHD.
  • These validated biomarkers offer a promising tool for early risk stratification and personalized management of HCT recipients.
  • The findings support the use of biomarker scores for predicting cGVHD risk, irrespective of graft source.