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The Zero-Adjusted Log-Symmetric Distributions: Point and Intervalar Estimation.

Diego Risco-Cosavalente1, Francisco José A Cysneiros1

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A new zero-adjusted log-symmetric distribution is introduced for semi-continuous data. This flexible model, estimated using maximum likelihood, shows promise for real-world applications with varying data tails.

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Area of Science:

  • Statistics
  • Probability Theory
  • Data Analysis

Background:

  • Semi-continuous data, common in fields like biostatistics and econometrics, often requires specialized modeling approaches.
  • Existing distributions may not adequately capture the characteristics of data with a high proportion of zero values and a continuous positive component.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To introduce and investigate a novel class of semi-continuous probability distributions: the zero-adjusted log-symmetric (ZALS) distributions.
  • To derive key properties and parameter estimation methods for the ZALS family.
  • To assess the performance of the proposed estimators through simulation and demonstrate practical utility with real data.

Main Methods:

  • Theoretical derivation of ZALS distribution properties.
  • Application of the maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) method for parameter estimation.
  • Development of confidence intervals (CIs) for the estimated parameters.
  • Conducting a simulation study to evaluate MLE performance across different tail behaviors (lighter/heavier).
  • Illustrative application using a real-world dataset.

Main Results:

  • The ZALS distribution is formally defined and its fundamental properties are established.
  • Maximum likelihood estimators and confidence intervals for ZALS parameters are derived.
  • Simulation results indicate that the MLEs perform adequately in both lighter and heavier-tailed scenarios.
  • The real data application demonstrates the practical applicability and flexibility of the ZALS distribution.

Conclusions:

  • The proposed zero-adjusted log-symmetric distribution offers a flexible and effective tool for modeling semi-continuous data.
  • The maximum likelihood method provides reliable parameter estimation for this new class of distributions.
  • The ZALS family is a valuable addition to the statistical toolkit for analyzing complex datasets with zero-inflated and continuous components.