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Six-Month Follow-up of COVID-19 Patients: Mortality and Related Factors
Mohammad Haji Aghajani1,2, Mohammad Sistanizad1,3, Amirmohammad Toloui4
1Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease Research Center, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.
Insights
Post-discharge deaths are common in COVID-19 patients, especially within the first month. Elderly patients with decreased blood pressure, oxygen saturation, and lymphocyte counts require cautious discharge and close monitoring for relapse.
Area of Science:
- Infectious Diseases
- Pulmonology
- Critical Care Medicine
Background:
- Limited evidence exists on the long-term prognosis of patients recovering from coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19).
- Understanding post-discharge outcomes is crucial for managing COVID-19 survivors.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the 6-month outcomes of patients discharged from hospital after COVID-19 recovery.
- To identify risk factors associated with mortality following hospital discharge for COVID-19.
Main Methods:
- A retrospective cohort study analyzed 614 patients discharged between February 18 and July 20, 2020.
- The primary endpoint was all-cause mortality at 6 months post-discharge.
Main Results:
- The 6-month all-cause mortality rate was 7.8% (48 deaths).
- COVID-19 relapse caused 54.2% of deaths, with 44.2% occurring in the first week and 74.4% in the first month post-discharge.
- Increased age, neutrophil percentage, and heart rate were risk factors for mortality, while higher hematocrit, oxygen saturation, and mean arterial pressure were protective.
Conclusions:
- COVID-19 patients face a significant risk of death after hospital discharge, often due to relapse.
- Elderly patients with declining physiological parameters (mean arterial pressure, oxygen saturation, lymphocyte count) need careful discharge planning.
- A one-month follow-up is recommended, with prompt hospital readmission advised upon signs of relapse.
Background:
Currently, there is lack of evidence regarding the long-term follow-up of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) patients. The aim of this study is to present a 6-month follow-up of COVID-19 patients who were discharged from hospital after their recovery.
Methods:
This retrospective cohort study was performed to assess the six-month follow-up of COVID-19 patients who were discharged from the hospital between February 18 and July 20, 2020. The primary outcome was 6-month all-cause mortality.
Results:
Data related to 614 patients were included to this study. Of these 614 patients, 48 patients died (7.8%). The cause of death in 26 patients (54.2%) was the relapse of COVID-19. Also, 44.2% of deaths happened in the first week after discharge and 74.4% in the first month. Risk factors of all-cause mortality included increase in age (odds ratio [OR]=1.09; P<0.001), increase in neutrophil percentage (OR=1.05; P=0.009) and increase in heart rate (OR=1.06; P=0.002) on the first admission. However, the risk of all-cause death was lower in patients who had higher levels of hematocrit (OR=0.93; P=0.021), oxygen saturation (OR=0.90; P=0.001) and mean arterial pressure (OR=0.93; P=0.001). In addition, increase in age (OR=1.11; P<0.001) was an independent risk factor for COVID-19-related death, while higher levels of lymphocyte percentage (OR=0.96; P=0.048), mean arterial pressure (OR=0.93; P=0.006) and arterial oxygen saturation (OR=0.91; P=0.009) were protective factors against COVID-19-related deaths during the 6-month period after discharge.
Conclusion:
Death is relatively common in COVID-19 patients after their discharge from hospital. In light of our findings, we suggest that elderly patients who experience a decrease in their mean arterial pressure, oxygen saturation and lymphocyte count during their hospitalization, should be discharged cautiously. In addition, we recommend that one-month follow-up of discharged patients should be take place, and urgent return to hospital should be advised when the first signs of COVID-19 relapse are observed.
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