Hybrid Smart Strategies to Predict Amine Thermal Degradation in Industrial CO₂ Capture Processes

CO₂ emission reduction is an essential step to achieve the climate change targets. Solvent-based post-combustion CO₂ capture (PCC) processes are efficient to be retrofitted to the existing industrial operations/installations. Solvent degradation (and/or loss) is one of the main concerns in the PCC processes. In this study, the thermal degradation of monoethanolamine (MEA) is investigated through the utilization of hybrid connectionist strategies, including an artificial neural network-particle swarm optimization (ANN-PSO), a coupled simulated annealing-least squares support vector machine (CSA-LSSVM), and an adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS). Moreover, gene expression programming (GEP) is employed to generate a correlation that relates the solvent concentration to the operating variables involved in the adverse phenomenon of solvent thermal degradation. The input variables are the MEA initial concentration, CO₂ loading, temperature, and time, and the output variable is the remaining/final MEA concentration after the degradation phenomenon. According to the training and testing phases, the most accurate model is ANFIS, and the reliability/performance of its optimal network is assessed by the coefficient of determination (R²), mean squared error, and average absolute relative error percentage, which are 0.992, 0.066, and 2.745, respectively. This study reveals that the solvent initial concentration has the most significant impact, and temperature plays the second most influential effect on solvent degradation. The developed models can be used to predict the thermal degradation of any solvent in a solvent-based PCC process regardless of the complicated reactions involved in the degradation phenomenon. The models introduced in this study can be employed for the development of more accurate hybrid models to optimize the proposed systems in terms of cost, energy, and environmental prospects.