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Published on: August 9, 2024
Risk factors for high CAD-RADS scoring in CAD patients revealed by machine learning methods: a retrospective study
Yueli Dai1, Chenyu Ouyang2, Guanghua Luo2
1Department of Radiology, The Second Affiliated Hospital, Hengyang Medical School, University of South China, Hengyang, Hunan, China.
Insights
Machine learning models accurately predict coronary artery disease risk using cardiovascular factors. Random Forest and Linear Discriminant Analysis showed the best performance in predicting Coronary Artery Disease-Reporting and Data System scores.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Medical Imaging
- Machine Learning
Background:
- Coronary Artery Disease (CAD) poses a significant health burden.
- Accurate risk stratification is crucial for patient management.
- Coronary CT angiography (CCTA) with CAD-Reporting and Data System (CAD-RADS) scores aids in assessing CAD severity.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate various machine learning (ML) methods for predicting CAD-RADS scores.
- To identify key cardiovascular risk factors associated with higher CAD-RADS scores.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective cohort study of 442 patients undergoing CCTA.
- CAD-RADS scores stratified into 0-2 and 3-5 groups.
- Prediction models included Random Forest, KNN, SVM, NN, DTC, and LDA.
Main Results:
- Random Forest (AUC=0.832) and LDA (AUC=0.81) demonstrated superior predictive performance.
- Higher prevalence of hypertension, hyperlipidemia, and diabetes mellitus in the CAD-RADS 3-5 group.
- Plasma fibrinogen, age, and diabetes mellitus were identified as the most significant predictors.
Conclusions:
- ML algorithms can accurately predict the association between cardiovascular risk factors and CAD-RADS scores.
- These findings support the use of ML in enhancing CAD risk assessment.
Objective:
This study aimed to investigate a variety of machine learning (ML) methods to predict the association between cardiovascular risk factors and coronary artery disease-reporting and data system (CAD-RADS) scores.
Methods:
This is a retrospective cohort study. Demographical, cardiovascular risk factors and coronary CT angiography (CCTA) characteristics of the patients were obtained. Coronary artery disease (CAD) was evaluated using CAD-RADS score. The stenosis severity component of the CAD-RADS was stratified into two groups: CAD-RADS score 0-2 group and CAD-RADS score 3-5 group. CAD-RADS scores were predicted with random forest (RF), k-nearest neighbors (KNN), support vector machines (SVM), neural network (NN), decision tree classification (DTC) and linear discriminant analysis (LDA). Prediction sensitivity, specificity, accuracy and area under the curve (AUC) were calculated. Feature importance analysis was utilized to find the most important predictors.
Results:
A total of 442 CAD patients with CCTA examinations were included in this study. 234 (52.9%) subjects were CAD-RADS score 0-2 group and 208 (47.1%) were CAD-RADS score 3-5 group. CAD-RADS score 3-5 group had a high prevalence of hypertension (66.8%), hyperlipidemia (50%) and diabetes mellitus (DM) (35.1%). Age, systolic blood pressure (SBP), mean arterial pressure, pulse pressure, pulse pressure index, plasma fibrinogen, uric acid and blood urea nitrogen were significantly higher (p < 0.001), and high-density lipoprotein (HDL-C) lower (p < 0.001) in CAD-RADS score 3-5 group compared to the CAD-RADS score 0-2 group. Nineteen features were chosen to train the models. RF (AUC = 0.832) and LDA (AUC = 0.81) outperformed SVM (AUC = 0.772), NN (AUC = 0.773), DTC (AUC = 0.682), KNN (AUC = 0.707). Feature importance analysis indicated that plasma fibrinogen, age and DM contributed most to CAD-RADS scores.
Conclusion:
ML algorithms are capable of predicting the correlation between cardiovascular risk factors and CAD-RADS scores with high accuracy.
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