Prognostic models for chronic postsurgical pain-Current developments, trends, and challenges

Prognostic models for chronic postsurgical pain (CPSP) aim to predict the likelihood for development and severity of CPSP in individual patients undergoing surgical procedures. Such models might provide valuable information for healthcare providers, allowing them to identify patients at higher risk and implement targeted interventions to prevent or manage CPSP effectively. This review discusses the latest developments of prognostic models for CPSP, their challenges, limitations, and future directions.

Numerous studies have been conducted aiming to develop prognostic models for CPSP using various perioperative factors. These include patient-related factors like demographic variables, preexisting pain conditions, psychosocial aspects, procedure-specific characteristics, perioperative analgesic strategies, postoperative complications and, as indicated most recently, biomarkers. Model generation, however, varies and performance and accuracy differ between prognostic models for several reasons and validation of models is rather scarce.

Precise methodology of prognostic model development needs advancements in the field of CPSP. Development of more accurate, validated and refined models in large-scale cohorts is needed to improve reliability and applicability in clinical practice and validation studies are necessary to further refine and improve the performance of prognostic models for CPSP.