Validation study of case-identifying algorithms for severe hypoglycemia using hospital administrative data in Japan

The purpose of this study was to evaluate the performance of algorithms for identifying cases of severe hypoglycemia in Japanese hospital administrative data.

This was a multicenter, retrospective, observational study conducted at 3 acute-care hospitals in Japan. The study population included patients aged ≥18 years with diabetes who had an outpatient visit or hospital admission for possible hypoglycemia. Possible cases of severe hypoglycemia were identified using health insurance claims data and Diagnosis Procedure Combination data. Sixty-one algorithms using combinations of diagnostic codes and prescription of high concentration (≥20% mass/volume) injectable glucose were used to define severe hypoglycemia. Independent manual chart reviews by 2 physicians at each hospital were used as the reference standard. Algorithm validity was evaluated using standard performance metrics.

In total, 336 possible cases of severe hypoglycemia were identified, and 260 were consecutively sampled for validation. The best performing algorithms included 6 algorithms that had sensitivity ≥0.75, and 6 algorithms that had positive predictive values ≥0.75 with sensitivity ≥0.30. The best-performing algorithm with sensitivity ≥0.75 included any diagnoses for possible hypoglycemia or prescription of high-concentration glucose but excluded suspected diagnoses (sensitivity: 0.986 [95% confidence interval 0.959-1.013]; positive predictive value: 0.345 [0.280-0.410]). Restricting the algorithm definition to those with both a diagnosis of possible hypoglycemia and a prescription of high-concentration glucose improved the performance of the algorithm to correctly classify cases as severe hypoglycemia but lowered sensitivity (sensitivity: 0.375 [0.263-0.487]; positive predictive value: 0.771 [0.632-0.911]).

The case-identifying algorithms in this study showed moderate positive predictive value and sensitivity for identification of severe hypoglycemia in Japanese healthcare data and can be employed by future pharmacoepidemiological studies using Japanese hospital administrative databases.