The trajectory of prognostication and risk stratification for patients with myelodysplastic syndromes

Risk stratification and prognostication are crucial for the appropriate management of patients with myelodysplastic syndromes (MDSs) or myelodysplastic neoplasms, for whom the expected survival can vary from a few months to >10 years. For the past 5 decades, patients with MDS have been classified into higher-risk vs lower-risk disease phenotypes using sequentially developed clinical prognostic scoring systems. Factors such as morphologic dysplasia, clinical hematologic parameters, cytogenetics, and, more recently, mutational information have been captured in prognostic scoring systems that refine risk stratification and guide therapeutic management in patients with MDS. This review describes the progressive evolution and improvement of these systems which has led to the current Molecular International Prognostic Scoring System.