Resolving the Smoking Paradox: No Evidence for Smoking-Induced Preconditioning in Large Vessel Occlusion Stroke

Smoking is an established risk factor for stroke. However, several studies have reported a better outcome after stroke for patients who smoke. According to this "smoking paradox" hypothesis, smoking might promote less severe strokes, higher collateral scores, and smaller infarct cores.

In this retrospective study, we screened data of 2,980 acute ischemic stroke patients with MCA-M1 occlusion treated with mechanical thrombectomy. Patients were categorized according to smoking status (current, former, or never). We assessed univariate associations between clinical characteristics and smoking status. Subsequently, we used adjusted regression analysis to evaluate associations of smoking with stroke severity on admission (National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale [NIHSS]; primary endpoint), infarct core volume, and collateral status (secondary endpoints).

Out of 320 patients, 19.7% (n = 63) were current smokers and 18.8% (n = 60) were former smokers. Admission NIHSS, reperfusion success, and modified Rankin Scale (mRS) after 3-6 months were similar in all groups. Current smokers were younger, more often male and less likely to have atrial fibrillation compared to former and never smokers. In regression analyses, smoking status was neither associated with admission NIHSS (estimate 0.54, 95% confidence interval [CI]: -1.27-2.35, p = 0.557) nor with collateral status (estimate 0.79, 95% CI: 0.44-1.44, p = 0.447) or infarct core volume (estimate -0.69, 95% CI: -15.15-13.77, p = 0.925 for current vs. never smokers).

We could not confirm the smoking paradox. Our results support the fact that smoking causes stroke at a younger age, highlighting the role of smoking as a modifiable vascular risk factor.