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Updated: Jul 18, 2025

The Joint Effect of Social Comparison and Social Distance on Evaluation of Intertemporal Choice Outcomes in Event-related Potential Studies
Published on: August 25, 2023
A social inference model of idealization and devaluation.
Giles W Story1, Ryan Smith2, Michael Moutoussis3
1Division of Psychiatry, University College London.
This study introduces a Bayesian model for dichotomous thinking, or "splitting," explaining how rigid "Good" or "Bad" beliefs form and update. The model quantifies splitting susceptibility and shows distinct patterns in borderline personality disorder versus healthy individuals.
Area of Science:
- Cognitive Psychology
- Computational Psychiatry
- Psychiatric Disorders
Background:
- Polarized beliefs, termed dichotomous thinking or "splitting," are common and characteristic of several psychiatric disorders.
- Existing theories are descriptive; a quantitative model is needed to explain the emergence and updating of these rigid beliefs.
Purpose of the Study:
- To introduce a Bayesian model of splitting that quantifies the tendency to categorize individuals or objects as strictly "Good" or "Bad."
- To predict how dichotomous beliefs are formed and updated based on new information, accounting for context-dependency and temporal stability.
- To measure individual differences in splitting susceptibility and its manifestation in clinical populations.
Main Methods:
- Developed a Bayesian computational model to parameterize rigid categorization of objects as "Good" or "Bad."
- Modeled the attribution of counter-evidence to external factors to consolidate idealized or devalued beliefs.
- Fitted the model to empirical data from healthy participants and individuals with borderline personality disorder.
Main Results:
- The model demonstrates how splitting can be context-dependent yet stable over time, with belief shifts triggered by sufficient counter-evidence.
- Healthy participants showed less changeable character impressions when holding a "Good" belief, while those with borderline personality disorder exhibited higher, symmetric splitting.
- The model successfully quantifies individual susceptibility to relational instability.
Conclusions:
- The proposed Bayesian framework offers a quantitative account of dichotomous thinking and its update mechanisms.
- Splitting dynamics differ significantly between healthy individuals and those with borderline personality disorder, highlighting clinical relevance.
- The generative model has potential applications in understanding and modeling relational and affective dynamics in psychotherapy.
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