Geographic variation and trends in prevalence of obesity among US adolescents, 2016-2021

Recent updates of geographic variations, trends, and sociodemographic disparities in obesity prevalence among US adolescents are limited. The study aimed to fill those research gaps.

Serial cross-sectional analysis of the US nationally representative study.

Data from six cycles of the National Survey of Children's Health (2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, and 2021) with information on physical health at the national and state level were used. A total of 107,274 adolescents aged 10-17 years old were included with sociodemographic data (age, sex, race/ethnicity, parental education level, and family income) and state of residence. Logistic regression models were used to estimate the odds ratios (ORs) associated with obesity across sociodemographic groups. In addition, ORs were calculated to compare obesity rates between the pandemic period (2020-2021) and the pre-pandemic period (2018-2019) overall and by sociodemographic subgroups. Survey analysis procedures were used to account for complex survey designs to derive representative estimates.

From 2016 to 2021, obesity prevalence increased from 16.1% (95% confidence interval [CI], 14.9%-17.4%) to 17.6% (95% CI, 16.4%-18.9%) (P-trend = 0.04). The combined prevalence of obesity varies substantially by state, from 9.34% (95% CI, 6.96%-12.4%; Colorado) to 27.1% (95% CI, 23.1%-31.5%; Mississippi) for adolescents aged 10-13 years and ranged from 9.86% (95% CI, 7.63%-12.7%; Utah) to 22.4% (95% CI, 19.0%-26.1%; West Virginia) for adolescents aged 14-17 years. Except for subgroups male gender and parents with college degrees or above, the prevalence of obesity showed stable trends across sociodemographic subgroups. Compared to the pre-pandemic period, the multivariable-adjusted ORs of obesity were 1.18 (95% CI, 1.06-1.32) for male adolescents, 1.16 (95% CI, 1.04-1.28) for non-Hispanic White adolescents, 1.81 (95% CI, 1.15-2.84) for non-Hispanic Asian adolescents, 1.26 (95% CI, 1.05-1.52) for adolescents whose parents had a high school education, and 1.15 (95% CI, 1.0-1.33) for adolescents whose parents had a college degree or higher.

The prevalence of obesity among US adolescents increased significantly between 2016 and 2021. The prevalence of obesity was relatively high in southern states. Those with low household income, low parental education, or being non-Hispanic Black or Hispanic were also more likely to be obese. Compared to the pre-pandemic period, several groups of adolescents increased their likelihood of obesity during the pandemic period.