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Minimizing outbreak through targeted blocking for disease control: a community-based approach using super-spreader
Amir Sheikhahmadi1, Mehri Bahrami2, Hero Saremi3
1Department of Computer Engineering, Islamic Azad University, Sanandaj Branch, Sanandaj, Iran. asheikhahmadi@iausdj.ac.ir.
Scientific Reports
|August 30, 2023
Summary
Targeted blocking of individuals can control disease spread when vaccines are limited. This study proposes a network-based method to identify key individuals for minimal intervention, outperforming existing strategies.
Area of Science:
- Epidemiology
- Network Science
- Computational Biology
Background:
- The COVID-19 pandemic highlighted the need for effective disease control strategies beyond vaccination.
- Limited vaccine supply necessitates targeted interventions to manage infectious disease outbreaks.
- Identifying key individuals for intervention is crucial for early-stage disease containment.
Purpose of the Study:
- To propose a novel network-based method for identifying critical nodes to block disease transmission.
- To minimize the set of individuals needing intervention while preventing large-scale outbreaks.
- To evaluate the proposed method's effectiveness against existing strategies.
Main Methods:
- The study frames disease spread control as a network problem, similar to identifying super-spreader nodes.
- A community detection approach is used to partition the network and identify critical connecting nodes.
- The proposed method aims to find the minimum set of nodes whose removal disconnects the network.
Main Results:
- The proposed method demonstrated superior performance in controlling disease spread compared to other approaches.
- Evaluations were conducted on both real-world and synthetically generated networks (LFR algorithm).
- Blocking identified connecting nodes effectively limited disease transmission between communities.
Conclusions:
- The developed network-based strategy offers an effective approach for targeted disease control.
- Community partitioning and blocking connecting nodes are key to limiting epidemic spread.
- This method provides a valuable tool for public health interventions, especially with resource constraints.
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