Immune biomarkers associated with COVID-19 disease severity in an urban, hospitalized population

We sought to identify immune biomarkers associated with severe Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in patients admitted to a large urban hospital during the early phase of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic.

The study population consisted of SARS-CoV-2 positive subjects admitted for COVID-19 (n = 58) or controls (n = 14) at the Los Angeles County University of Southern California Medical Center between April 2020 through December 2020. Immunologic markers including chemokine/cytokines (IL-6, IL-8, IL-10, IP-10, MCP-1, TNF-α) and serologic markers against SARS-CoV-2 antigens (including spike subunits S1 and S2, receptor binding domain, and nucleocapsid) were assessed in serum collected on the day of admission using bead-based multiplex immunoassay panels.

We observed that body mass index (BMI) and SARS-CoV-2 antibodies were significantly elevated in patients with the highest COVID-19 disease severity. IP-10 was significantly elevated in COVID-19 patients and was associated with increased SARS-CoV-2 antibodies. Interactions among all available variables on COVID-19 disease severity were explored using a linear support vector machine model which supported the importance of BMI and SARS-CoV-2 antibodies.

Our results confirm the known adverse association of BMI on COVID-19 severity and suggest that IP-10 and SARS-CoV-2 antibodies could be useful to identify patients most likely to experience the most severe forms of the disease.