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Firearm Violence Involving Adults 65 and Older During the Novel Coronavirus Disease Pandemic
Heidi Tan1, Jonathan Shipley1, Flora S Park1
1Division of Trauma, Burns, Critical Care and Acute Care Surgery, Department of Surgery, University of California, Irvine, Orange, CA, USA.
Background:
Rates of firearm violence (FV) surged during the COVID-19 pandemic. However, there is a paucity of data regarding older adults (OAs) (≥65 years old). This study aimed to evaluate patterns of FV against OAs before and after the COVID-19 pandemic, hypothesizing decreased firearm incidents, injuries, and deaths for OAs due to restricted social movement.
Methods:
Retrospective (2016-2021) data for OAs were obtained from the Gun Violence Archive. The rate of FV was weighted per 10,000 OAs using annual population data from the United States Census Bureau. Mann-Whitney U tests were performed to compare annual firearm incidence rates, number of OAs killed, and number of OAs injured from 2016-2020 to 2021.
Results:
From 944 OA-involved shootings, 842 died in 2021. The median total firearm incidents per month per 10,000 OAs decreased in 2021 vs 2016 (.65 vs .38, P < .001), 2017 (.63 vs .38, P < .001), 2018 (.61 vs .38, P < .001), 2019 (.39 vs .38, P = .003), and 2020 (.43 vs .38, P = .012). However, there was an increased median number of OAs killed in 2021 vs 2020 (.38 vs .38, P = .009), but no difference from 2016-2019 vs 2021 (all P > .05). The median number of firearm injuries decreased from 2017 to 2021 (.21 vs .19, P = .001) and 2020 to 2021 (.19 vs .19 P < .001).
Discussion:
Firearm incidents involving OAs decreased in 2021 compared to pre-pandemic years; however, there was a slight increase in deaths compared to 2020. This may reflect increased social isolation; however, future research is needed to understand why this occurred.
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