Acute Cardiovascular Events After COVID-19 in England in 2020: A Self-Controlled Case Series Study
Jennifer A Davidson1, Amitava Banerjee2, Helen Strongman1
1Department of Non-Communicable Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Purpose:
To assess the risk of incident cardiovascular outcomes after COVID-19 by level of cardiovascular risk in waves one and two of the pandemic in England in 2020.
Patients And Methods:
We conducted a self-controlled case-series study among adults aged 40-84 years with no pre-existing cardiovascular disease using linked data from the Clinical Practice Research Datalink. We generated season-adjusted incidence ratios (IRs) for first acute cardiovascular event after SARS-CoV-2 infection compared with baseline time before and >91 days after infection. We used composite and individual acute cardiovascular event outcomes including myocardial infarction, major ventricular arrhythmia, left ventricular heart failure, and ischemic stroke. We stratified by cardiovascular risk, using diagnosed hypertension and QRISK3 predicted risk, and by wave one and two of the pandemic.
Results:
We included 1762 individuals, 76.6% had a QRISK3 score ≥10% and 59.4% had hypertension. The risk of any cardiovascular event was elevated in the 1-7 days after infection (IR 7.14 [95% CI 6.06-8.41]) and, while the effect size tapered, the risk remained for 15-28 days after infection (1.74 [1.33-2.26]). Risks were similar for individual event type, differing by level of cardiovascular risk, and in wave one and two of the pandemic. .
Conclusion:
SARS-CoV-2 infection is associated with early elevations in the risk of first acute cardiovascular event, across cardiovascular risk levels and in both wave one and two of the pandemic. Prevention of COVID-19 is important to avert cardiovascular complications.
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