Prognosis in chronic progressive neurologic disease: a narrative review

Prognostication is the process of predicting a patient's likely outcome from their medical condition, and consists of determining both how well and how long a patient may live. There are few disease-specific prognostic tools to estimate a patient's individualized prognosis in terms of symptom burden and mortality. Here we summarize relevant literature on prognosis in four progressive neurologic diseases-dementia, Parkinson's disease, amyotrophic lateral sclerosis, and multiple sclerosis-as well as on best practices on communicating prognosis with patients and care partners.

We conducted a PubMed search for terms including "prognosis", "mortality" and "prognostic indicators" in addition to specific diseases, and for terms including "prognosis AND communication". Only English-language papers were included in this review. The time frame of our literature search was 1965 through March 1, 2023.

There is some literature to help clinicians in predicting disease progression and survival. These include both general factors (e.g., age, medical co-morbidities) and disease-specific factors (e.g., postural instability in Parkinson's disease). There is also literature on communication of prognosis in neurologic and non-neurologic disease which demonstrates that many patients and care partners prefer to hear prognosis early after diagnosis and to have prognosis discussed as a roadmap of disease.

More work is needed to develop tools for individualized prognostication and communication for patients with neurologic disease. While there is limited literature on disease-specific prognostic models, existing literature combined with palliative care approaches may improve prognostic guidance for patients.