Association of Coronary Artery Calcium Detected by Routine Ungated CT Imaging With Cardiovascular Outcomes

Allison W Peng1, Ramzi Dudum2, Sneha S Jain2

  • 1Department of Medicine, Stanford University, Stanford, California, USA; Stanford Cardiovascular Institute, Stanford University, Stanford, California, USA. Electronic address: https://twitter.com/AllisonWPeng.

Insights

Deep learning-quantified coronary artery calcium (CAC) on routine CT scans identifies individuals at higher risk for cardiovascular events and death. This opportunistic screening method using deep learning-CAC can aid in earlier interventions for at-risk patients.

Area of Science:

  • Cardiology
  • Radiology
  • Artificial Intelligence

Background:

  • Coronary artery calcium (CAC) is a significant predictor of cardiovascular events across diverse populations.
  • CAC can be incidentally quantified on non-electrocardiography (ECG)-gated computed tomography (CT) scans, enabling opportunistic screening for subclinical atherosclerosis.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To evaluate if incidental CAC, quantified by a deep-learning (DL) algorithm on routine non-ECG-gated CTs, offers cardiovascular risk stratification beyond traditional methods.
  • To assess the association of DL-quantified CAC (DL-CAC) with adverse cardiovascular outcomes.

Main Methods:

  • DL algorithm used to quantify incidental CAC on non-ECG-gated chest CTs from 2014-2019.
  • Association of DL-CAC (0, 1-99, or ≥100) with all-cause death, and composite outcomes of death/myocardial infarction (MI)/stroke, and death/MI/stroke/revascularization analyzed using Cox regression.
  • Adjusted for traditional risk factors and calculated 10-year atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk using pooled cohort equations.

Main Results:

  • 52% of 5,678 adults without ASCVD had DL-CAC >0; those with DL-CAC ≥100 had a 24% average 10-year ASCVD risk, with only 26% on statins.
  • Adjusted analysis showed DL-CAC ≥100 was associated with increased risk of death (HR: 1.51), death/MI/stroke (HR: 1.57), and death/MI/stroke/revascularization (HR: 1.69) compared to DL-CAC = 0.
  • Incidental CAC ≥100 identified increased risk beyond traditional factors.

Conclusions:

  • Incidental CAC ≥100 is linked to higher risks of all-cause death and adverse cardiovascular outcomes.
  • DL-CAC from routine CT scans effectively identifies patients at elevated cardiovascular risk.
  • DL-CAC shows promise as an opportunistic screening tool for facilitating earlier cardiovascular interventions.
Abstract

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