Indeterminate etiology of acute liver failure in North America: Less common, still grave prognosis

The etiology of acute liver failure (ALF) remains one of the most important factors in determining prognosis and predicting outcomes. In a significant proportion of ALF cases, however, the etiology remains unknown and is categorized as indeterminate ALF (IND-ALF). In this study, we summarize findings from patients with IND-ALF from 32 transplant centers across the United States, and we compare laboratory, prognostic, and outcome data for patients with IND-ALF.

Between 1998 and 2019, 3364 adult patients with ALF or acute liver injury (ALI) from 32 liver transplant centers were enrolled in the ALFSG registry. The primary clinical outcome of interest was 21-day transplant-free survival (TFS).

Of the 3364 patients enrolled in the ALFSG registry, 3.4 % (n = 114) were adjudicated as true indeterminate. On multivariate analysis, patients with a lower bilirubin, lower INR, lack of use of mechanical ventilation and no clinical features of coma at baseline had a higher odds ratio of transplant free survival. The number of deaths were similar between patients with true-IND ALF versus patients with indeterminable ALF (29.8% vs. 27.2%), with almost half of the patients requiring liver transplant (42.1% vs. 45.7%).

We illustrate the poor prognoses that true-IND-ALF and indeterminable ALF carry and the need for emergency liver transplantation in most cases.