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Terrorism and child mortality.

Daniel Meierrieks1, Max Schaub1,2

  • 1WZB Berlin Social Science Center, Berlin, Germany.

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This summary is machine-generated.

Terrorism significantly increases child mortality in Africa, causing thousands of annual deaths. This impact stems from indirect economic and behavioral effects, not direct violence.

Keywords:
Africachild mortalitypanel event-studyterrorism

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Area of Science:

  • Global Health
  • Development Economics
  • Political Science

Background:

  • Child mortality remains a critical global health challenge, particularly in developing regions.
  • Terrorism is a growing security concern with potential, yet understudied, socioeconomic consequences.
  • Understanding the multifaceted impacts of conflict on vulnerable populations is crucial for effective policy.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate the causal relationship between terrorism and child mortality in 52 African countries.
  • To quantify the scale of child deaths attributable to terrorism.
  • To explore the mechanisms through which terrorism influences child mortality.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized geo-coded data on terrorism incidents and spatially disaggregated child mortality data.
  • Analyzed data for 52 African countries from 2000 to 2017 at a 0.5° x 0.5° grid level.
  • Employed panel event-study methods to assess economic effects and indirect impacts.

Main Results:

  • Moderate increases in terrorism correlate with thousands of additional annual deaths in children under five.
  • Economic consequences of terrorism are substantial and compound over time.
  • Direct impact of terrorism on child mortality is minimal; indirect effects via behavioral changes are primary.

Conclusions:

  • Terrorism indirectly drives child mortality through adverse behavioral responses from parents, healthcare workers, and policymakers.
  • Policy interventions addressing socioeconomic factors and behavioral adaptations are needed to mitigate terrorism's impact on child survival.
  • Further research is warranted to fully elucidate the complex pathways linking terrorism to child mortality.