Natural course of cerebral and spinal cavernous malformations: a complete ten-year follow-up study

Alejandro N Santos1,2, Laurèl Rauschenbach3,4, Hanah H Gull3,4

  • 1Department of Neurosurgery and Spine Surgery, University Hospital Essen, Hufelandstrasse 55, 45147, Essen, Germany. alejandro.santos@uk-essen.de.

Scientific Reports
|September 19, 2023
PubMed

Insights

Conservative treatment for cavernous malformations (CM) carries a significant bleeding risk. Intramedullary spinal cord CM and prior hemorrhage are key predictors of future bleeding events over 10 years.

Area of Science:

  • Neurology
  • Neurosurgery
  • Vascular Malformations

Background:

  • Limited understanding of bleeding risk and long-term outcomes for conservatively managed cavernous malformations (CM).
  • Need for data on hemorrhage occurrence and risk factors in untreated CM patients.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate the 10-year hemorrhage risk in patients with cerebral (CCM) or intramedullary spinal cord (ISCM) CM managed conservatively.
  • To identify independent predictors of (re)hemorrhage in this cohort.

Main Methods:

  • Retrospective analysis of 91 patients with CCM or ISCM from an institutional database (2003-2021).
  • Exclusion of surgically treated patients and those with incomplete follow-up.
  • Multivariate logistic regression and Cox regression analyses to identify risk factors and cumulative hemorrhage risk.

Main Results:

  • Bleeding at diagnosis and spinal CM localization were significant predictors of (re)hemorrhage.
  • Cumulative 10-year bleeding risk was 30% overall, 39% for those with initial bleeding, and 67% for ISCM.
  • Hemorrhage probability increased over time, particularly in ISCM and patients with prior bleeding.

Conclusions:

  • Conservative management of CM carries a substantial long-term bleeding risk.
  • Spinal CM localization and prior hemorrhage are critical risk factors.
  • Findings suggest a potentially aggressive course for ISCM, supporting consideration for early surgical intervention.