Impaired Renal Function and Major Cardiovascular Events in Young Adults

Junayd Hussain1, Haris Imsirovic2, Mark Canney3

  • 1School of Epidemiology and Public Health, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada; ICES, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada.

Insights

Subclinical reductions in kidney function, indicated by estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) below age-expected values, increase cardiovascular disease risk in young adults. Early detection and intervention are crucial for managing this rising health concern.

Area of Science:

  • Nephrology
  • Cardiology
  • Public Health

Background:

  • Cardiovascular disease (CV) is increasing among young adults (18-39 years).
  • The association between subclinical kidney function decline (eGFR below age-expected values) and elevated CV risk in this demographic remains unclear.
  • Subclinical kidney function reduction is defined as estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) above the chronic kidney disease threshold but below age-expected levels.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate the age-specific relationship between subclinical reductions in eGFR and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in young adults.
  • To examine the association between subclinical eGFR reductions and MACE plus heart failure (MACE+).

Main Methods:

  • Retrospective cohort study involving 8.7 million individuals, with 3.6 million aged 18-39 years, using Canadian provincial health data (2008-2021).
  • Cox models analyzed the association of categorized eGFR (50-120 mL/min/1.73 m²) with MACE and MACE+.
  • Analyses were stratified by age groups: 18-39, 40-49, and 50-65 years.

Main Results:

  • A stepwise increase in MACE and MACE+ risk was observed starting with eGFR < 80 mL/min/1.73 m² in young adults.
  • For MACE, the hazard ratio (HR) was 1.31 (95% CI: 1.27-1.40) for ages 18-30 with eGFR 70-79 mL/min/1.73 m².
  • These associations remained consistent across MACE components and in sensitivity analyses, including those accounting for prior CV disease, albuminuria, and repeated eGFR measures.

Conclusions:

  • Subclinical reductions in eGFR below age-expected levels are linked to increased MACE and MACE+ risk in young adults.
  • Age-appropriate risk stratification is necessary for young adults with reduced kidney function.
  • Proactive monitoring and timely intervention strategies should be considered for this population.
Abstract

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