First-trimester prediction of preterm pre-eclampsia and prophylaxis by aspirin: Effect on spontaneous and iatrogenic

Kypros H Nicolaides1, Argyro Syngelaki1,2, Liona C Poon3

  • 1Fetal Medicine Research Institute, King's College Hospital, London, UK.

Insights

The Fetal Medicine Foundation triple test and NICE guidelines showed poor prediction for spontaneous preterm birth (PTB). Aspirin did not substantially reduce spontaneous PTB or iatrogenic PTB unrelated to pre-eclampsia.

Area of Science:

  • Obstetrics and Gynecology
  • Maternal-Fetal Medicine
  • Perinatal Health

Background:

  • Preterm birth (PTB) remains a leading cause of neonatal morbidity and mortality.
  • Accurate screening for PTB risk is crucial for timely intervention.
  • Current screening guidelines, including the Fetal Medicine Foundation (FMF) triple test and National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE) guidelines, require evaluation for their predictive performance.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To assess the predictive accuracy of the FMF triple test and NICE guidelines for preterm birth (PTB).
  • To evaluate the impact of aspirin in preventing PTB.
  • To compare the effectiveness of two screening methods for PTB risk.

Main Methods:

  • Secondary analysis of data from the SPREE study and the ASPRE trial.
  • Inclusion of 16,451 singleton pregnancies screened at 11-13 weeks gestation.
  • Comparison of FMF method and NICE guidelines for predicting spontaneous PTB (sPTB), iatrogenic PTB for pre-eclampsia (iPTB-PE), and iatrogenic PTB for other reasons (iPTB-noPE).

Main Results:

  • The FMF triple test detected 17% of sPTB and 25% of iPTB-noPE, while NICE guidelines detected 12% and 19%, respectively, at a 10.2% screen-positive rate.
  • The FMF triple test showed higher detection rates for iPTB-PE (82%) compared to NICE guidelines (39%).
  • Aspirin use was associated with preventing 14% of sPTB, 65% of iPTB-PE, and 0% of iPTB-noPE.

Conclusions:

  • Both the FMF triple test and NICE guidelines demonstrated poor predictive performance for spontaneous PTB and iatrogenic PTB unrelated to pre-eclampsia.
  • Aspirin significantly reduced iatrogenic PTB due to pre-eclampsia but had a limited impact on spontaneous PTB.
  • Improved screening strategies are needed for accurate PTB prediction, particularly for spontaneous PTB.
Abstract