Prediabetes and the risk of breast cancer: a meta-analysis

Diabetes has been related to a higher risk of breast cancer (BC) in women. However, it remains unknown whether the incidence of BC is increased in women with prediabetes. A systematic review and meta-analysis was therefore performed to evaluate the relationship between prediabetes and risk of BC.

Observational studies with longitudinal follow-up relevant to the objective were found via searching Medline, Embase, Cochrane Library, and Web of Science. A fixed- or random-effects model was used to pool the results depending on heterogeneity.

Eight prospective cohort studies and two nest case-control studies were included. A total of 1069079 community women were involved, and 72136 (6.7%) of them had prediabetes at baseline. During a mean duration follow-up of 9.6 years, 9960 (0.93%) patients were diagnosed as BC. Pooled results with a fixed-effects model showed that women with prediabetes were not associated with a higher incidence of BC as compared to those with normoglycemia (risk ratio: 0.99, 95% confidence interval: 0.93 to 1.05, p = 0.72) with mild heterogeneity (p for Cochrane Q test = 0.42, I^{2 =} 3%). Subgroup analyses showed that study characteristics such as study design, menopausal status of the women, follow-up duration, diagnostic criteria for prediabetes, methods for validation of BC cases, and study quality scores did not significantly affect the results (p for subgroup analyses all > 0.05).

Women with prediabetes may not be associated with an increased risk of BC as compared to women with normoglycemia.