Related Experiment Video
Updated: Jul 14, 2025
Predicting Amputation using Local Circulating Mononuclear Progenitor Cells in Angioplasty-treated Patients with Critical Limb Ischemia
Published on: September 22, 2020
Machine-learning-based prediction of fractional flow reserve after percutaneous coronary intervention
Rikuta Hamaya1, Shinichi Goto2, Doyeon Hwang3
1Department of Epidemiology, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA.
Background And Aims:
Post-percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) fractional flow reserve (FFR) reflects residual atherosclerotic burden and is associated with future events. How much post-PCI FFR can be predicted based on baseline basic information and the clinical relevance have not been investigated.
Methods:
We compiled a multicenter registry of patients undergoing pre- and post-PCI FFR. Machine-learning (ML) algorithms were designed to predict post-PCI FFR levels from baseline demographics, quantitative coronary angiography, and pre-PCI FFR. FFR deviation was defined as actual minus ML-predicted post-PCI FFR levels, and its association with incident target vessel failure (TVF) was evaluated.
Results:
Median (IQR) pre- and post-PCI FFR values were 0.71 (0.61, 0.77) and 0.88 (0.84, 0.93), respectively. The Spearman correlation coefficient of the actual and predicted post-PCI FFR was 0.54 (95% CI: 0.52, 0.57). FFR deviation was non-linearly associated with incident TVF (HR [95% CI] with Q3 as reference: 1.65 [1.14, 2.39] in Q1, 1.42 [0.98, 2.08] in Q2, 0.81 [0.53, 1.26] in Q4, and 1.04 [0.69, 1.56] in Q5). A model with polynomial function of continuous FFR deviation indicated increasing TVF risk for FFR deviation ≤0 but plateau risk with FFR deviation >0.
Conclusions:
An ML-based algorithm using baseline data moderately predicted post-PCI FFR. The deviation of post-PCI FFR from the predicted value was associated with higher vessel-oriented event.
