Changes in the outcomes of patients with anaplastic thyroid carcinoma over the past two decades

To assess the changes in survival outcomes among patients with anaplastic thyroid carcinoma in the US over the past two decades.

Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database research data were reviewed, and patients with anaplastic thyroid carcinoma, who were diagnosed from 2004 to 2020 were evaluated. Kaplan-Meier survival estimates were conducted to examine differences in overall survival between three year-of-diagnosis groups (2004 to 2010; 2011 to 2016; and 2017 to 2020). Multivariable Cox regression analysis was then performed to explore the factors affecting overall survival.

A total of 1804 patients with anaplastic thyroid carcinoma were included. Using Kaplan-Meier survival estimates, overall survival was better among patients diagnosed from 2017 to 2020 versus those diagnosed at earlier periods (P < 0.001). One-year survival estimates were 25% among patients diagnosed from 2017 to 2020 versus 15% for patients diagnosed from 2011 to 2016, and 19%, for patients diagnosed from 2004 to 2010. Using the multivariable Cox regression model, an earlier year of diagnosis was associated with worse overall survival compared to the diagnosis year 2017 to 2020 (HR for diagnosis 2004 to 2010 versus diagnosis 2017 to 2020: 1.170; 95% CI: 1.029 to 1.331, and HR for diagnosis 2011 to 2016 versus diagnosis 2017 to 2020: 1.251; 95% CI: 1.103 to 1.419).

While anaplastic thyroid carcinoma remains a deadly cancer, survival seems to be improving for the last few years compared to earlier years. There is still additional work to be done to improve the outcomes of those patients.