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Unrecorded alcohol consumption in Lithuania: a modelling study for 2000-2021
Mindaugas Štelemėkas1,2,3, Nijolė Goštautaitė Midttun3,4, Shannon Lange5,6,7
1Health Research Institute, Faculty of Public Health, Lithuanian University of Health Sciences, Tilžės str.18, Kaunas 47181, Lithuania.
Unrecorded alcohol consumption in Lithuania was estimated using an indirect modeling method. Results indicate that unrecorded alcohol intake is modest, though recorded consumption remains a significant public health concern.
Area of Science:
- Public Health
- Alcohol Research
- Epidemiology
Background:
- Unrecorded alcohol consumption poses a significant public health challenge globally.
- Estimating unrecorded alcohol is crucial for accurate public health policy and harm reduction strategies.
- Lithuania's alcohol consumption patterns require updated data on both recorded and unrecorded sources.
Purpose of the Study:
- To estimate unrecorded alcohol consumption in Lithuania from 2000 to 2021.
- To model alcohol consumption using official data and indicators of alcohol-related harm.
- To assess the proportion and trends of unrecorded alcohol intake in the Lithuanian population.
Main Methods:
- Utilized Norström's indirect method for modeling unrecorded alcohol consumption.
- Employed data from the 2019 Lithuanian European Health Interview Survey.
- Incorporated indicators of fully alcohol-attributable mortality for estimation.
Main Results:
- Estimated unrecorded alcohol consumption at 8.30% (95% CI 7.7-8.9%) in 2019.
- Total per capita consumption in 2019 was 12.2 L, with 1.01 L being unrecorded.
- The highest proportion of unrecorded alcohol was observed in 2018 (9.33%), with the lowest in 2009 and 2014.
Conclusions:
- Unrecorded alcohol consumption in Lithuania appears modest compared to recorded levels.
- Recorded alcohol consumption remains a primary public health challenge in Lithuania.
- Continued monitoring of both recorded and unrecorded alcohol is essential for public health interventions.
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