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Sequential Bayesian Ability Estimation Applied to Mixed-Format Item Tests
Jiawei Xiong1, Allan S Cohen2, Xinhui Maggie Xiong3
1Pearson, Athens, GA, USA.
A new sequential Bayesian (SB) method offers more accurate ability estimation for mixed-format tests compared to traditional concurrent Bayesian (CB) methods, particularly with smaller sample sizes. This approach improves overall assessment reliability.
Area of Science:
- Educational Measurement
- Psychometrics
- Statistical Modeling
Background:
- Large-scale assessments frequently employ mixed-format items, combining multiple-choice (MC) and constructed-response (CR) formats.
- Simultaneous analysis of mixed-format items may not yield optimal ability estimates.
- Existing methods like concurrent Bayesian (CB) calibration may have limitations in accurately estimating examinee abilities.
Purpose of the Study:
- To explore a two-step sequential Bayesian (SB) analytic method for mixed item response models.
- To compare the accuracy and reliability of the SB method against a traditional concurrent Bayesian (CB) method (EAPsum).
- To evaluate the performance of the SB method across various factors including sample size and test length.
Main Methods:
- Developed and applied a two-step sequential Bayesian (SB) method integrating ability estimates from MC and CR items.
- Utilized individual-level sample-dependent prior distributions estimated from MC items for posterior ability estimation.
- Conducted simulation studies to assess parameter recovery and compared SB with CB (EAPsum) under different conditions.
Main Results:
- The SB method demonstrated more accurate and reliable ability estimation than the CB method, especially with small sample sizes (N=150, 500).
- Both methods showed comparable recovery for multiple-choice item parameters.
- The CB method slightly outperformed the SB method in recovering constructed-response item parameters, though the SB method's posterior ability estimates showed higher reliability in an empirical example.
Conclusions:
- The sequential Bayesian (SB) method provides a more accurate and reliable approach for ability estimation in mixed-format assessments compared to concurrent Bayesian (CB) methods.
- The SB method's advantages are particularly pronounced in scenarios with limited sample sizes.
- The proposed SB method offers improved posterior ability estimation reliability for mixed-item assessments.
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