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Trade-Offs between Vaccine Effectiveness and Vaccine Safety: Personal versus Policy Decisions
Semra Ozdemir1,2, Sean Ng3, Vinh Anh Huynh3
1Signature Programme in Health Services and System Research, Lien Centre for Palliative Care, Duke-NUS Medical School, 8 College Road, Singapore, 169857, Singapore. semra.ozdemir@duke.edu.
Individuals are more risk-averse to vaccine safety concerns when making decisions for others as policymakers compared to personal choices. This highlights a crucial difference in risk perception for public health policy.
Area of Science:
- Public Health
- Behavioral Economics
- Vaccinology
Background:
- Understanding individual decision-making regarding vaccine trade-offs between effectiveness and safety is critical for public health policy.
- Previous research has not fully explored how perspective-taking (policymaker vs. personal) influences these trade-offs.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate if individuals' trade-offs between vaccine effectiveness and safety differ when making decisions for others as a policymaker versus for themselves.
- To analyze how risk aversion to vaccine-related deaths changes based on decision-making perspective.
Main Methods:
- A web-enabled discrete choice experiment was conducted in Indonesia and Vietnam with 1000 general population participants.
- Participants (n=500 per country) were randomly assigned to make COVID-19 vaccine decisions from a policymaker or personal perspective.
- Vaccines were evaluated based on infection reduction, hospitalization reduction, and risk of death from adverse events; analysis used a mixed logit model.
Main Results:
- Risk of death from vaccine-related adverse events was the most significant attribute, followed by effectiveness in reducing infection and hospitalizations.
- Vaccine choice probability was lower in policy decisions compared to personal decisions.
- Policy decisions exhibited greater sensitivity to changes in the risk of death from adverse events (p ≤ 0.01).
Conclusions:
- Individuals demonstrate increased risk aversion to vaccine-related deaths when acting as policymakers for others compared to making personal health decisions.
- These findings have significant implications for designing public health communication strategies and vaccine policies during infectious disease outbreaks.
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