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Uncertainty about predation risk: a conceptual review.

Adam L Crane1,2, Laurence E A Feyten2, Alexyz A Preagola3

  • 1WCVM, Biomedical Sciences, University of Saskatchewan, 52 Campus Dr., Saskatoon, SK, S7N 5B4, Canada.

Biological Reviews of the Cambridge Philosophical Society
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Summary

Animals face uncertainty in their environment, especially regarding predation risk. This study explores how informational limitations, like novel or conflicting cues, influence animal decisions and antipredator behavior.

Keywords:
ambiguityanthropogenic changefitnessinformationmemoryneophobianoveltypredation riskreliabilityunpredictability

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Area of Science:

  • Ecology
  • Behavioral Ecology
  • Decision Science

Background:

  • Animals must make critical decisions for survival, often under conditions of uncertainty.
  • Predation risk is a significant factor influencing animal behavior and decision-making processes.
  • Uncertainty in ecology arises from informational limitations regarding environmental cues.

Approach:

  • This review synthesizes studies investigating uncertainty in predation risk perception.
  • Examines how informational limitations (novelty, incompleteness, unreliability, complexity, conflict) induce uncertainty.
  • Discusses the use of neophobia and memory attenuation as proxies for measuring uncertainty.

Key Points:

  • Environmental changes, especially unpredictable ones, create informational limitations.
  • Studies assess unpredictable variance in predation risk, encounter rates, and predator diversity.
  • Anthropogenic habitat changes significantly impact information availability and antipredator uncertainty.

Conclusions:

  • Understanding uncertainty is crucial for comprehending animal decision-making in ecological contexts.
  • Informational limitations are central to the functional ecology of predation risk uncertainty.
  • Human-induced environmental alterations pose substantial challenges to animals navigating uncertainty.