FROST 2.0: Factors Predicting Orthopaedic Trauma Volumes - A Validation Study

The anecdotal relationship between weather, season, and orthopaedic trauma volumes is understood by patients and healthcare providers: when the winter ground is icy, people fall. Previous research established that winter and summer months as well as ice and snow were significant predictors of orthopaedic trauma and surges in volumes. The current study validates the previously established predictive model in one Canadian city; the original methods were repeated using a new, yet geographically similar dataset. The effect of month and ice were consistent, which suggests the proposed model has sufficient external validity to guide resource allocation and primary prevention strategies.