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Predicting the Effectiveness of Population Replacement Strategy Using Mathematical Modeling

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BatTool: projecting bat populations facing multiple stressors using a demographic model.

Ashton M Wiens¹, Amber Schorg², Jennifer Szymanski³

¹U.S. Geological Survey, Upper Midwest Environmental Sciences Center, La Crosse, WI, 54603, USA. awiens@usgs.gov.

BMC Ecology and Evolution

|October 15, 2023

Summary

BatTool R package simplifies demographic modeling for bat conservation. This tool helps assess population impacts from stressors like wind energy, aiding crucial management decisions for imperiled species.

Keywords:

Cave-hibernating bats Demography Extinction risk Matrix projection Population ecology Population viability analysis White-nose syndrome Wind energy

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Area of Science:

Ecology
Conservation Biology
Computational Biology

Background:

Bats provide vital ecosystem services but face population declines due to stressors like white-nose syndrome and wind energy development.
Accurate demographic modeling is crucial for effective bat conservation strategies.
Complexity of current modeling tools hinders widespread adoption by conservation managers.

Purpose of the Study:

To introduce the BatTool R package, a user-friendly tool for bat demographic modeling.
To provide a graphical user interface (GUI) for scenario analyses.
To demonstrate the application of BatTool in assessing impacts of environmental stressors on bat populations.

Main Methods:

Development and exposition of the BatTool R package.
Implementation of a matrix projection model within the R package.
Creation of a publicly accessible graphical user interface (GUI).

Main Results:

The BatTool R package offers accessible demographic modeling capabilities.
The GUI facilitates user-defined scenario analyses for conservation planning.
A case study demonstrated the tool's utility in evaluating wind energy impacts on four imperiled bat species.

Conclusions:

BatTool R package enhances the application of demographic modeling in bat conservation.
The tool supports informed decision-making for managing bat populations facing environmental threats.
Accessible modeling tools are essential for advancing conservation efforts for declining bat species.