Study of prevalence, clinical profile, and predictors of rapid progression in diabetic kidney disease

A significant proportion of diabetic kidney disease (DKD) experience a rapid decline in eGFR, leading to end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) within months. This single-centered retrospective cohort study aimed to assess the prevalence, clinical profile, and predictors for rapid progression in type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) patients with DKD.

Three hundred fifty-nine T2DM patients with DKD between January 2018 and 2022 were included and those with superimposed non-diabetic kidney disease, chronic kidney disease 5, and < 6 months follow-up were excluded. They were classified as rapid and non-rapid progressors based on the annual eGFR decline of > 5 ml/min/1.73 m²/year. The primary outcome analyzed was the progression to ESKD. The secondary outcomes were the onset of microvascular and macrovascular complications and predictors for rapid progression as well as ESKD.

In a median follow-up of 3.5 years, 61.3% were rapid progressors (mean eGFR decline of 15.4 ml/1.73m²/year) and 38.7% were non-rapid progressors (mean eGFR decline 1.8 ml/1.73m²/year. Among rapid progressors, 61.4% reached ESKD. Severe proteinuria, the presence of retinopathy, and acute kidney injury (AKI) episodes were strong predictors of rapid progression. Cardiovascular disease and diabetic retinopathy (microvascular complications) were significantly higher among rapid progressors and had a mortality rate of 7.2%.

The majority of type 2 DKD patients were rapid progressors and two-thirds of them developed ESKD. The prevalence of hypertension, cardiovascular disease, diabetic retinopathy, AKI episodes, and mortality was higher in rapid progressors. Severe proteinuria and diabetic retinopathy were found to be strong predictors for rapid eGFR decline and its progression to ESKD.