Overall Survival Differences in Young Black Colorectal Cancer Patients: a Report from the National Cancer Database

Objectives: Black patients have the highest overall incidence rate of early onset colorectal cancer, with many of these patients presenting with more aggressive disease at diagnosis, ultimately leading to decreased overall survival. We aimed to (1) evaluate how race and age affected overall survival in colorectal cancer patients, and (2) determine the different demographic and clinical covariables that may influence survival in younger individuals. Methods: The 2017 National Cancer Database (NCDB) was used to identify all patients that had colorectal cancer between 2004-2017. These patients were then divided into groups according to age (<45 and ≥45 years old) and race (white and black). Overall survival (OS) between white and black groups according to age was compared. Initial testing of survivor functions between groups revealed violations of the proportional hazards assumption. Accordingly, we used parametric maximum likelihood analyses fitting the survivor functions to Weibull distributions. Logistic regression analysis was used to determine univariate and multivariate relationships between the covariates and race for younger subjects. Propensity score matching analysis was also used to control for differences in the demographic or clinical variables between the young black versus white subgroups. Results: Out of 1.4 million potential cases initially identified, 207,823 unique cases were deemed eligible for evaluation based on study criteria. Black patients in the study population were more likely to be female, have medical comorbidities, and come from areas with lower average income and baseline education. OS was lower in older patients of both race categories when compared to the younger cohorts. Among patients older than 45 years, there were no significant differences in proportional hazard of death between black and white patients. However, among those younger than 45 years, younger black patients had significantly increased hazard of death. Regarding disease burden at diagnosis, pathologic characteristics and overall risk of death, there were no significant differences between black and white patients. Conclusions: Overall survival in young black patients with colorectal cancer is significantly reduced when compared to young white patients, even when controlling for demographic and pathologic factors. This suggests that the outcome disparities between black and white patients are complex, and the underlying factors are not well understood.