Distinguishing natural and anthropogenic contributions to biological soil crust distribution in China's drylands

Desertification caused by natural factors and human activities seriously threatens dryland biological communities. However, the impact of these factors on non-vascular plants in drylands has not been fully documented. This study proposed a framework to distinguish the natural and anthropogenic contributions to the distribution of the biological soil crust (BSC) coverage. The 20 model-simulated environmental datasets, including climate, soil characteristics and terrain, were selected to explore the internal relationship between these environmental drivers and BSC coverage. Random forest classification and regression models were developed to calculate the BSC coverage in the drylands of China under natural conditions. By subtracting the predicted natural BSC coverage from the observed BSC coverage, the spatial distribution of changes in BSC coverage attributed to human activities was mapped. The results showed that in the limited vegetation areas of China's drylands, human activities had a positive impact on BSC coverage in only 11.3 % of the regions while having a negative effect on 25.4 % of the regions. Moreover, human activities led to a 33 % reduction in BSC coverage in these regions. The positive impacts of large-scale ecological restoration projects on BSC coverage in the drylands of China were limited due to land use changes caused by human economic activities. This framework provides support for assessing regional variations in anthropogenic impacts on dryland BSC communities and contributes to the development of appropriate dryland management policies.