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Sliding Window-Based Machine Learning for Environmental Inspection Resource Allocation.

Qi Zhou1,2, Shen Qu1,2, Qianzi Wang1,2

  • 1School of Management and Economics, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing 100081, China.

Environmental Science & Technology
|October 23, 2023
PubMed
Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

Machine learning models predict enterprise environmental inspection failures, improving resource allocation. This data-driven approach enhances regulatory effectiveness and promotes sustainable development.

Keywords:
Data-drivenEnvironmental ManagementInspection AllocationMachine Learning

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Area of Science:

  • Environmental Science
  • Data Science
  • Regulatory Science

Background:

  • Environmental regulation faces resource constraints, limiting inspection effectiveness.
  • Sustainable development requires efficient oversight of industrial compliance.
  • Predictive modeling can optimize resource allocation for environmental inspections.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To develop and evaluate machine learning models for predicting enterprise inspection failures.
  • To optimize resource allocation strategies for environmental regulators.
  • To enhance the effectiveness of environmental inspections using data-driven methods.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized four sliding window-based machine learning techniques.
  • Employed feature-engineered time-series data from 16,777 chemical enterprises (2010-2021).
  • Compared model performance against Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) models, achieving ROC AUC > 0.83.

Main Results:

  • Machine learning models demonstrated high accuracy in predicting inspection failures.
  • Recent violation history significantly impacts future non-compliance.
  • Proposed risk-based resource allocation scenarios, with one increasing detection rates over 8-fold.

Conclusions:

  • Sliding window machine learning offers a viable alternative to deep learning for environmental regulation.
  • Data-driven insights enable optimized inspection resource allocation.
  • Enhanced regulatory effectiveness supports sustainable development goals.