Outcome prediction in comatose cardiac arrest patients with initial shockable and non-shockable rhythms

Prognosis after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) is presumed poorer in patients with non-shockable than shockable rhythms, frequently leading to treatment withdrawal. Multimodal outcome prediction is recommended 72 h post-arrest in still comatose patients, not considering initial rhythms. We investigated accuracy of outcome predictors in all comatose OHCA survivors, with a particular focus on shockable vs. non-shockable rhythms.

In this observational NORCAST sub-study, patients still comatose 72 h post-arrest were stratified by shockable vs. non-shockable rhythms for outcome prediction analyzes. Good outcome was defined as cerebral performance category 1-2 within 6 months. False positive rate (FPR) was used for poor and sensitivity for good outcome prediction accuracy.

Overall, 72/128 (56%) patients with shockable and 12/50 (24%) with non-shockable rhythms had good outcome (p < .001). For poor outcome prediction, absent pupillary light reflexes (PLR) and corneal reflexes (clinical predictors) 72 h after sedation withdrawal, PLR 96 h post-arrest, and somatosensory evoked potentials (SSEP), all had FPR <0.1% in both groups. Unreactive EEG and neuron-specific enolase (NSE) >60 μg/L 24-72 h post-arrest had better precision in shockable patients. For good outcome, the clinical predictors, SSEP and CT, had 86%-100% sensitivity in both groups. For NSE, sensitivity varied from 22% to 69% 24-72 h post-arrest. The outcome predictors indicated severe brain injury proportionally more often in patients with non-shockable than with shockable rhythms. For all patients, clinical predictors, CT, and SSEP, predicted poor and good outcome with high accuracy.

Outcome prediction accuracy was comparable for shockable and non-shockable rhythms. PLR and corneal reflexes had best precision 72 h after sedation withdrawal and 96 h post-arrest.